Heat supplies prediction based on similar days

Abstract

This paper describes an experiment focused on heat supplies proposal which is based on seeking days with similar outdoor temperature behaviour. There is model of distribution system for heat consumption prepared but the main questions still remain. When, how much and in what heat condition to deliver into the urban agglomeration? The first and simplest answer was similar as we did yesterday or better, day alike the one we want to control now. And of course, all needs must be always guaranteed. From the information we got from previous (similar) day, the new control starts. The idea is to make the model more precise and offer possibility to learn and improve control which worked, but perhaps can work better.