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Time series analysis of heat demand

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dc.title Time series analysis of heat demand en
dc.contributor.author Chramcov, Bronislav
dc.contributor.author Balátě, Jaroslav
dc.relation.ispartof 22nd European Conference on Modelling and Simulation, Proceedings
dc.identifier.isbn 978-0-9553018-5-8
dc.date.issued 2008
dc.citation.spage 213
dc.citation.epage 217
dc.event.title 22nd European Conference on Modelling and Simulation (ECMS 2008)
dc.event.location Nicosia
utb.event.state-en Cyprus
utb.event.state-cs Kypr
dc.event.sdate 2008-06-03
dc.event.edate 2008-06-06
dc.type conferenceObject
dc.language.iso en
dc.publisher European Council for Modelling and Simulation (ECMS) en
dc.relation.uri http://www.scs-europe.net/conf/ecms2008/ecms2008%20CD/ecms2008%20pdf/is-ECMS2008_0128.pdf
dc.subject Prediction en
dc.subject District Heating Control en
dc.subject Box-Jerkins en
dc.subject Control algorithms en
dc.subject Time series analysis en
dc.description.abstract The paper deals with an analysis of time series of heat demand course. The course of heat demand and heat consumption can be demonstrated by means of heat demand diagrams. The most important one is the Daily Diagram of Heat Supply (DDHS) which demonstrates the course of requisite heat output during the day. This analysis is utilized for building up a prediction model of the DDHS. Forecast of this heat demand course is significant for short-term and long-term planning of heat production. This forecast is very important for technical and economic considerations. The solved prediction is especially determined for the qualitative-quantitative method of hot-water piping heat output control, i.e. the Balate System which enables to eliminate any transport delay. Its importance is increased especially for controlled systems having great time constants and great transport delay. In this paper we have focused on determination of difference order, autoregressive process order and moving average process order. en
utb.faculty Faculty of Applied Informatics
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/10563/1001898
utb.identifier.rivid RIV/70883521:28140/08:63507065!RIV09-GA0-28140___
utb.identifier.obdid 43866557
utb.identifier.scopus 2-s2.0-84857731549
utb.identifier.wok 000261605800031
utb.source d-wok
dc.date.accessioned 2011-08-09T07:34:10Z
dc.date.available 2011-08-09T07:34:10Z
utb.contributor.internalauthor Chramcov, Bronislav
utb.contributor.internalauthor Balátě, Jaroslav
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