Model-building for time series of heat demand

Abstract

The paper presents model design of time series of heat demand course. The course of heat demand and heat consumption can be demonstrated by means of heat demand diagrams. These diagrams are of essential importance for technical and economic considerations. Therefore forecast of the diagrams course is significant for short-term and long-term planning of heat production. The aim of paper is to give some background about analysis of heat demand course and its utilization for building up a forecast model by means of Box-Jenkins methodology. The paper show a sample of model design for calculation of heat demand prediction in locality of the city Olomouc.