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Utilization of Mathematica environment for designing the forecast model of heat demand

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dc.title Utilization of Mathematica environment for designing the forecast model of heat demand en
dc.contributor.author Chramcov, Bronislav
dc.relation.ispartof WSEAS Transactions on Heat and Mass Transfer
dc.identifier.issn 1790-5044 Scopus Sources, Sherpa/RoMEO, JCR
dc.date.issued 2011
utb.relation.volume 6
utb.relation.issue 1
dc.citation.spage 21
dc.citation.epage 30
dc.type article
dc.language.iso en
dc.relation.uri http://www.wseas.us/e-library/transactions/heat/2011/53-086.pdf
dc.subject Box-Jenkins en
dc.subject control algorithms en
dc.subject district heating control en
dc.subject modeling en
dc.subject prediction en
dc.subject time series analysis en
dc.description.abstract Time series analysis and subsequent forecasting can be an important part of a process control system. By monitoring key process variables and using them to predict the future behavior of the process, it may be possible to determine the optimal time and extent of control action. We can find applications of this prediction also in the control of the Centralized Heat Supply System (CHSS), especially for the control of hot water piping heat output. Knowledge of heat demand is the base for input data for the operation preparation of CHSS. The course of heat demand can be demonstrated by means of the Daily Diagram of Heat Supply (DDHS) which demonstrates the course of requisite heat output during the day. This diagram is of essential importance for technical and economic considerations. The aim of paper is to give some background about analysis of time series of heat demand and identification of forecast model using Time series package which is integrated with the Wolfram Mathematica environment. The paper illustrates using this environment for designing the forecast model of heat demand in specific locality. en
utb.faculty Faculty of Applied Informatics
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/10563/1002686
utb.identifier.rivid RIV/70883521:28140/11:43865510!RIV12-MSM-28140___
utb.identifier.obdid 43865522
utb.identifier.scopus 2-s2.0-80051620970
utb.source j-scopus
dc.date.accessioned 2012-02-10T13:15:31Z
dc.date.available 2012-02-10T13:15:31Z
dc.rights Attribution 4.0 International
dc.rights.uri https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
dc.rights.access openAccess
utb.contributor.internalauthor Chramcov, Bronislav
utb.fulltext.affiliation BRONISLAV CHRAMCOV Tomas Bata University in Zlin Faculty of Applied Informatics nam. T.G. Masaryka 5555, 760 01 Zlin, CZECH REPUBLIC chramcov@fai.utb.cz
utb.fulltext.dates -
utb.fulltext.sponsorship This work was supported in part by the Ministry of Education of the Czech Republic under grant No. MSM7088352102 and National Research Programme II No. 2C06007.
utb.fulltext.projects MSM7088352102
utb.fulltext.projects 2C06007
utb.fulltext.faculty Faculty of Applied Informatics
utb.fulltext.ou -
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Attribution 4.0 International Except where otherwise noted, this item's license is described as Attribution 4.0 International